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Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Galway Festival 2012, day three betting tips, Wednesday

A cracking day at Galway yesterday with a 9/2, a 5/4 and a 13/2 winner. It gave the coffers a nice little boost following a reasonably poor Monday. To be honest, today looks tricky but sure you can't hide behind the couch and I've put up another article in the Irish Independent today (posted below).

At Goodwood, I can't wait to watch the greatest flat horse of all time race, FRANKEL.

 I've followed this horse since the early days and definitely have Frankel Fever. He's 1/20 in the betting and a win should be a formality. In some ways, it's a little disappointing that he's frightened everyone away and only faces 3 rivals but it's still worth tuning in at ten past three just to watch this historic horse in action.


With regard to the daily form study bets, I've just one for today - here's what Timeform has to say:

4.20 Goodwood - Pearl Sea
Half-sister to useful 2011 2-y-o winner Vladimir. Has made bright start in finishing placed in pair of warm 6f maidens, clear of third at Newmarket last time. Sets a lofty standard.


On the financial trading front, I've just sold the Great British Pound against the Euro [EDIT: that should say Dollar - I sold the pound against the dollar, not the euro], again using a strategy I learned in Mastering The Trade.

I sold at 1.5638 with my initial stop loss in place at 1.5768. As before, once I'm in the trade two days, I will use a two day trailing stop, with the highest point on the candle from two days ago becoming the new stop each time.

I'm not trying to catch a big trend here or anything - it's more at a micro level and the strategy says that the pound has come to the end of a slight bull run:

Finally, here's my Galway article form today's Irish Independent - best of luck with your trading and betting.

WHILE the focus of my article is on Galway this week, I can't let today go by without mentioning the greatest Flat horse of all time, Frankel, which runs today in the Qipco Sussex Stakes at Goodwood.It's the job of a sportswriter to be descriptive, colourful and entertaining and, as such, we often run the risk of over- hyping our stars.But it's virtually impossible to overstate how good this horse is, and no matter what you are doing at 3.10 this afternoon, you should down tools and watch this exceptional animal win his 12th race in a row. He has frightened nearly everyone off the race and will face just three rivals, so it's likely that his price will be in the region of 1/ 20.
Disappointing in a way, and you'd often wonder who'd bother backing at those prices. They would want to have more money than sense – although a quick look through the stats shows that seven horses have gone off at 1/ 20 or shorter since 2003 and all seven have won.But for your regular Joe Punter, no bet is needed to enjoy watching what is truly equine perfection in action.Back home at Ballybrit, the feature race of the day is the Galway Plate, where a chance is taken on WISE OLD OWL to land the prize for John Kiely’s yard in a race where Willie Mullins' Blackstairmountain sets the standard.The latter is bound to prove popular in the betting and his second place in the Grade One Ryanair Novice Chase earns him respect, but at 5/ 1, he looks decidedly short.The selection hasn’t been seen since finishing second in this very race last year and I’m slightly concerned about the extra 10lb he’ll carry this time around, but his trainer knows how to pick his races and you can’t help feeling that the eightyear- old has been laid out for this. At 12/ 1, he can be taken each- way. Earlier on at 4.45, FAT CAT IN THE HAT ( 7/ 2) is nap material in the Bet 10, Get 10 At The Tote Marquee ( Q. R.) Maiden for the Mullins team. He proved frustrating to follow last term and should have won a maiden at Leopardstown in October. However, now gelded, I'm told he's come on a lot at home over the winter and spring.

3.0 Too Scoops
3.35 Moonlight Sapphire
4.10 Capal Dubh Alainn (e/w)
4.45 Fatcatinthehat (nap)
5.25 Wise Old Owl (e/w)
6.00 Our Conor
6.35 Curl Cat
7.10 Tandem

91/ 1
FOLLOWERS of Wayne Bailey would have been in the money yesterday as three of his tips came up trumps.
Voleuse De Coeurs started the ball rolling winning at odds of 9/ 2 before nap selection Magical Dream obliged at 5/ 4. The treble was completed by Golden Shoe’s 13/ 2 triumph which would have returned a profit of € 91.81 for a € 1 stake.

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