Someone emailed me about my 'momentum' strategy with regard to commodities so I'll briefly outline what I'm testing. I have it all automated in a spreadsheet so it only takes me minutes each day to monitor.
When I decide to start monitoring a commodity, I make a note of its buy and sell price in columns B and C (see attached picture). The idea is to trade the commodity when it moves in price by 5% or more in either direction.
Each day, I'll make a note of the new prices and enter them in columns J and K. Lucky enough, I have screen reading software so I can simply copy and paste the data from the markets and I don't have to type in all the figures.
Column Q compares the original price of the commodity when I started monitoring it to the new price and tells me how much it has moved (in percent terms).
If and when a price moves by more than 5%, a message will pop up in column R telling me to 'Buy' or in column S telling me to 'Sell'. As you can see, Wheat has moved more than 5% down from the original price so hence the 'Sell' signal.
The rest of the columns are just the maths and other notes but it's a fairy simple way of monitoring price movements without having to manually compare prices each day (which is time consuming).
I also have a similar setup for Betfair trading where I get a bot to send the live price feed to my spreadsheet.
Looks a bit complicated but it's handy!
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14 hours ago
Wayne, is this strategy tested to this level, that you can tell that is profitable. You don't post anymore any of screenshots. So I wonder..
ReplyDeleteSon
Don't quite get you.
ReplyDeleteI've posted screenshots of my trades every day practically - some winners, some losers.
No, I'm not saying it's definitely profitable - as mentioned, it's still under test and I'm using small stakes.
I'm using different sized stakes as each commodity has a different price range.
I understand! Thanks!
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