Someone emailed me about my 'momentum' strategy with regard to commodities so I'll briefly outline what I'm testing. I have it all automated in a spreadsheet so it only takes me minutes each day to monitor.
When I decide to start monitoring a commodity, I make a note of its buy and sell price in columns B and C (see attached picture). The idea is to trade the commodity when it moves in price by 5% or more in either direction.
Each day, I'll make a note of the new prices and enter them in columns J and K. Lucky enough, I have screen reading software so I can simply copy and paste the data from the markets and I don't have to type in all the figures.
Column Q compares the original price of the commodity when I started monitoring it to the new price and tells me how much it has moved (in percent terms).
If and when a price moves by more than 5%, a message will pop up in column R telling me to 'Buy' or in column S telling me to 'Sell'. As you can see, Wheat has moved more than 5% down from the original price so hence the 'Sell' signal.
The rest of the columns are just the maths and other notes but it's a fairy simple way of monitoring price movements without having to manually compare prices each day (which is time consuming).
I also have a similar setup for Betfair trading where I get a bot to send the live price feed to my spreadsheet.
Looks a bit complicated but it's handy!
Ludlow (Weds)
18 hours ago
Wayne, is this strategy tested to this level, that you can tell that is profitable. You don't post anymore any of screenshots. So I wonder..
ReplyDeleteSon
Don't quite get you.
ReplyDeleteI've posted screenshots of my trades every day practically - some winners, some losers.
No, I'm not saying it's definitely profitable - as mentioned, it's still under test and I'm using small stakes.
I'm using different sized stakes as each commodity has a different price range.
I understand! Thanks!
ReplyDelete