Trading software

Saturday, May 31, 2014

Chester draw bias

The draw bias at Chester is well known so it's surprising that some profit can still be made from backing the low drawn horses.
Chester is Britain's tightest racecourse so the advantage of getting a low draw on the inside rail is significant. The handicap sprints can prove particularly lucrative especially if the horse is one of the top horses in the ratings.
Here's a quick little system which has made me a nice few bob down through the years:

* Race is a handicap sprint (5 and 6 furlong)
* Horse is drawn in stall one or two
* Horse is in the top three in the weights
This strategy has produced 32 winners from 114 bets since 2003 and a profit of €494 to a €10 stake at SP. Since Betfair SP was introduced in 2008, the profit has been €525 to a €10 stake, assuming you were on the maximum 5% commission.
For this reason and more, I'll be backing Royal Rascal in the 2.30, as discussed in today's Irish Independent article

Have a good day,


Chester racecourse:

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