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Friday, March 13, 2015

Cheltenham Festival day four (Friday)

Nothing spectacular yesterday but a profitable day overall with a 9/1 winner. Here's today's race-by-race guide which I wrote for the Irish Independent.

Peace And Co will be popular in the betting but the trial he won for this race was weak and the pace was very slow. At 9/4, he’s too short for me. Preference is for BELTOR at 6/1. A son of Derby winner Authorized, he won a Grade Two at Kempton on soft ground.
A tricky race to decipher, SORT IT OUT gets the each-way vote at 14/1 or thereabouts. Edward Harty’s gelding flew home at my local track Leopardstown in an 18-runner handicap last month and is taken to progress even further.
The Nick Williams-trained TEA FOR TWO was beaten in a novices’ hurdle at Ascot last time but is best judged on his previous handicap win at Kempton. Priced as high as 25/1, he’s another one to take each-way.
Both Holywell and Djakadam are ones for the shortlist but I reckon
SILVINIACO CONTI’s time has come. A faller in this in 2013 and fourth in a messy renewal last year, he has perked up in his latest two races wearing cheekpieces. He’s definitely the one they have to beat.
Just two 11-year-olds have won this race since 1987 so older horses are usually best avoided. One of the best hunter chasers around, the Warren Greatrex-trained PAINT THE CLOUDS stands out as a horse which is laid out for this.
Willie Mullins has had a great festival and a chance is taken on
MCKINLEY to add to his tally. He was disappointing in a Grade One at Leopardstown last time but the handicapper has given him a break here and he’s entitled to go well off a rating of 136. Should be thereabouts.
The final race has been renamed this year in honour of the soon to be retired Tony McCoy, and his mount Ned Buntline is bound to be popular. But he’s a little short at 5/1 and BELLENOS makes appeal at a decent each-way price. I’ll also keep TURN OVER SIVOLA onside in the place-only markets on the exchanges.

Wayne's book Sports Trading on Betfair is out now:

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